Subject: Possible NFL contest.

Date: Mon Oct 16 11:17:40 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
I'm not in any pickem pools this year, and I can say with confidence that my record would suck by now, and getting worse. I recall something from our Post-Gazette newspaper, that a contest would include these terms. Pick one win each week, and keep on going until your next week's pick loses. Then you are out. And, if I recall correctly, you can't pick the same team again that season. There is still a lot of season left, and plenty of time for most-if-not-all of us to be eliminated. If so, Thursday Night would start the next week. Anybody want to try? If we carry it to the Playoffs, obviously, we would all start with a clean slate to continue. If you picked the Pats in Week 10, in the Playoffs you could pick them again. Once. It would require some strategy. (Pick an NFC team in the first round and save the Pats? And then another AFC team in the second round, etc.) Say we all are eliminated before season's end. Then, we could all start anew for the playoffs... Any takers, for this week?

Date: Mon Oct 16 20:58:29 2017
User: Dr.Bombay
Message:
KC over Oakland

Date: Mon Oct 16 21:07:55 2017
User: Gremlin
Message:
Titans over Browns

Date: Mon Oct 16 22:40:34 2017
User: huffy
Message:
Vikings over Ravens

Date: Mon Oct 16 23:54:26 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Cowboys over Niners

Date: Tue Oct 17 00:01:40 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Somebody asked me a question. The answer is, reasonably, that it should be okay to make a pick any time before kickoff of your game. Or, do you think we should impose a deadline? I see no reason to. do so.

Date: Tue Oct 17 00:33:42 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Let's add a wrinkle. We can't pick a team as the loser more than once. That way, we can't, for example, pick everybody who plays the Browns or the Niners. With 11 weeks to go, that would be 22 teams (out of 32 teams total) for each of us. In light of this, anybody can change their already-made pick. But after that, picks would be set in stone, once made. Also, You can pick one team in one game as winner and as loser in another game. (Winner against Team A and later, for example, Loser against Team B.)

Date: Tue Oct 17 04:58:12 2017
User: huffy
Message:
Snowy You are the man running it, I am only to happy to play by your choice of conditions. Regardless my tip will stand. In answer to your questions. I agree that anytime before kickoff is fine it might backfire against someone leaving it that late if they miss that they have already tipped the winner as a winner before or the loser as a loser before. I do like the idea that you can only tip a team to lose once as well, even though it does stop my original plan of trying to keep to tipping anyone playing the Browns. When I placed my tips the Titans were losing to the Colts (the final result was somewhat different) and this weekend they visit the Browns. I actually think the Browns might be a sneaky chance this round. huffy

Date: Tue Oct 17 09:24:21 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
A virtual case of Sam Adams to the winner, or if he/she chooses, a virtual Fifth of Jack Daniels (or two virtual bottles of good Napa Valley Rose.) If the winner wishes, I will send an actual Steelers Terrible Towel. (Not to be actually or virtually abused or defaced.)

Date: Tue Oct 17 18:16:39 2017
User: CubicSprock
Message:
Vikings over Ravens

Date: Tue Oct 17 18:54:33 2017
User: Katya
Message:
I'll probably be first out, but here goes... KC over Oakland

Date: Wed Oct 18 21:57:28 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
In answer to a question posed on the P&R Board, where we have 3 or 4 picks so far: (Regarding if I will keep score) Kinda. I will just have a look on Tuesday morning at how folks made out, and list those still in the game. Say, you decide to pick Monday Night Football's winner. No need to pick until just before kickoff Monday night.

Date: Thu Oct 19 16:48:53 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Dr.Bombay KC over Oakland Gremlin Titans over Browns huffy Vikings over Ravens Snowguy Cowboys over Niners CubicSprock Vikings over Ravens Katya KC over Oakland (From P&R Board): bil Chiefs on Thursday, of course youngarmy Chiefs over Raiders (Plenty of time left to pick)

Date: Thu Oct 19 23:58:06 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
What a finish! (But now we need some more pickers. We lost 4 out 8 in the first night!)

Date: Fri Oct 20 07:25:39 2017
User: JackK2017
Message:
49ers to lose, whoever they are playing

Date: Fri Oct 20 19:18:22 2017
User: Klepp
Message:
Atlanta over New England.

Date: Fri Oct 20 20:48:49 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Dr.Bombay KC over Oakland Gremlin Titans over Browns huffy Vikings over Ravens Snowguy Cowboys over Niners CubicSprock Vikings over Ravens Katya KC over Oakland (From P&R Board): bil Chiefs on Thursday, of course youngarmy Chiefs over Raiders JackK2017 49ers to lose, Klepp Atlanta over New England. (Plenty of time left to pick)

Date: Sat Oct 21 12:34:10 2017
User: TNmountainman
Message:
Well, I don't follow football as much as I used to, esp. the pros, but what the heck. With the near-parity out there (and 4 pickers gone already) this competition should be over in 3-5 weeks (in time to start another one?) With all that said.... Bills over Bucs P&R board still exists!?!? Thought that succumbed years ago. With the goings-on in 'recent history', that must have been being a raucous party/riot at times.

Date: Sat Oct 21 20:46:11 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
It's actually been rather mild.

Link: P&R

Date: Sun Oct 22 03:01:26 2017
User: Dr.Bombay
Message:
.sigh

Date: Sun Oct 22 23:53:48 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Results as of Sunday Night: Dr.Bombay KC over Oakland ----Out Gremlin Titans over Browns ----Moves on huffy Vikings over Ravens ----Moves on Snowguy Cowboys over Niners ----Moves on CubicSprock Vikings over Ravens ----Moves on Katya KC over Oakland ----Out TNmountainman Bills over Bucs ---Moves on (From P&R Board): bil Chiefs on Thursday, of course ----Out youngarmy Chiefs over Raiders ----Out JackK2017 49ers to lose, ----Moves on Klepp Atlanta over New England. ----Out So far, n early half of us are already gone--- 5 losses and 6 wins Plenty of time to jump in, with a Monday Night Football pick! (Redskins at Eagles)

Date: Sun Oct 22 23:57:27 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
My bad. I see on the P&R Board that poptart picked PHI Eagles on Monday night.

Date: Mon Oct 23 12:20:47 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Ooops! I missed that cawthraguy said in a comment he "would pick the Bills opponent every week." (Which of course he can't do.) But for this week it's taken as Bills to lose. cawthraguy Bills opponent ----Out 6 wins and 6 losses so far.

Date: Mon Oct 23 23:42:05 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Still in it: Gremlin huffy Snowguy CubicSprock TNmountainman JackK2017 poptart

Date: Wed Oct 25 09:21:27 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
For the new week, we have one pick so far, on either board.. pop picks Falcons over Jets. The week's first game is Dolphins-Raiders, Thursday night.

Date: Wed Oct 25 15:07:11 2017
User: CubicSprock
Message:
Eagles over 49ers

Date: Wed Oct 25 16:34:09 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Bengals bounce back over Colts (Saving a couple heavy hitters, in case I make it through the next couple weeks.)

Date: Wed Oct 25 17:42:45 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
My bad, above. Thursday night: Dolphins at Ravens. Raiders? Ravens? Yeah. There is a difference...

Date: Wed Oct 25 22:35:00 2017
User: huffy
Message:
Bengals over Colts CS - For a strategy person that's a strange call (yes its a sure thing) unless you are confident that this contest will only go for a few weeks.

Date: Wed Oct 25 22:57:09 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Odds are that, even picking straight-up, 40% or so of us will be gone every week. 3 losses this week would leave 4 to go on. It might be wrapped up in three weeks... But don't worry. We can re-start for the Playoffs.

Date: Thu Oct 26 12:39:53 2017
User: CubicSprock
Message:
As an Eagles fan I don't see it as a sure thing...I'm still not sold we are as good as our record. So I probably am not going to feel super confident using my Eagles pick to win over a stronger team, so now seemed as good a time as any. That said, coming off a short week against a team they could overlook could present problems, while 49ers coming off getting absolutely crushed will be trying to prove they belong in the NFL. Still I felt like most of the other matchups were close to toss ups, so went with the best odds on paper.

Date: Thu Oct 26 22:11:35 2017
User: huffy
Message:
If you only rate the Eagles middle pack then the selection is a good one. Also if the near 50% attrition rate continues then I have way over thought the tactics. That happens and you are in a very good position. I believe the Eagles are the most certain winner this weekend and its more a matter of how far rather than IF they win. I am keeping the Eagles as winners and the 49ers as losers for a future point in time. Looking to get 2 games from them instead of 1. I don’t currently rate my selection this week (Bengals) highly and expect that if I continue to survive they are a team that I can potentially double use in that I can find a game where I can tip them to lose.

Date: Fri Oct 27 11:45:19 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Man, who saw that Thursday night result coming? I was favoring the Ravens, but 40 points? And with #2 QB in for much of the game, and missing a bunch of important pieces? Despite Miami's obvious shortcomings, this just might have been the surprise of the year. Picks so far: poptart: Falcons CubicSprock: Eagles Snowguy: Bengals huffy: Bengals (3 more yet to pick)

Date: Fri Oct 27 12:36:52 2017
User: TNmountainman
Message:
After initially thinking I'd take "whoever-is-against-CS" to lose (which would be an Eagles over 49s pick), and is a likely winner, and not wanting to pick cheaters (Brady & co.) to win, and thinking Brownies just *may* be due (in Twickenham, no less; and no, I'm not really calling for that upset).......I'm gonna try another hard one and save the (supposedly) easy ones, just in case I survive: Saints over da Bearce - knowing that's only maybe a 58%-61% chance of being a winner.

Date: Fri Oct 27 13:16:37 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
I have been pondering the difference between: Chiefs vs Raiders and then (the next week, if I am correct) Ravens vs. Dolphins Three or four plays after the time ran out--but not "overtime"--as opposed to a real yawner in the second half.

Date: Fri Oct 27 21:55:39 2017
User: Gremlin
Message:
Panthers over Bucs

Date: Sat Oct 28 14:33:51 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Picks so far: poptart: Falcons CubicSprock: Eagles Snowguy: Bengals huffy: Bengals TNmountainman: Saints over da Bearce Gremlin: Panthers over Bucs Still lacking: JackK2017

Date: Sun Oct 29 15:40:43 2017
User: CubicSprock
Message:
well glad I can rest easy during the 4th quarter today, unlike you bengal and falcon fans :-)

Date: Sun Oct 29 16:15:57 2017
User: huffy
Message:
phew.

Date: Sun Oct 29 19:47:23 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
phew. Ditto.

Date: Sun Oct 29 19:56:09 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
No way I could have guessed it. 6-for-6. a clean sweep so far. Will JackK2017 blow it? Or will he wimp out? It would be very cool to carry all seven contestants through into next week.

Date: Mon Oct 30 22:20:53 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
Okay. Jack did not show up this time, so six of us move on. No losses this week, just Jack forfeiting.

Date: Wed Nov 1 12:29:46 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
First game is Thursday night. Bills at Jets. Any takers?

Date: Thu Nov 2 14:32:53 2017
User: CubicSprock
Message:
Alright, I've got a handful of picks I'm debating between...but in honor of Houston's World Series win let's go with Texans over the Colt (.45)s.

Date: Thu Nov 2 15:21:55 2017
User: Gremlin
Message:
Bills over Jets.

Date: Thu Nov 2 20:27:20 2017
User: CubicSprock
Message:
fyi...I'll probably be changing that pick.

Date: Thu Nov 2 20:42:10 2017
User: Snowguy
Message:
No problemo. They only lock in at kickoff.

Date: Thu Nov 2 22:19:27 2017
User: huffy
Message:
Seahawks over Redskins

Date: Fri Nov 3 00:23:40 2017
User: TNmountainman
Message:
I also was likely going to go for the Texans over those particular ponies, and that was before CS's announcement. But with the caveat that "our" Pony wasn't going to be activated. That would have been a horse of a different color, obviously. And now that's likely out the window regardless. I may have to use my Eagles pick over the *other* ponies from that mile-high place. [That is not a pronouncement of a pick, in case it's not clear.]

Date: Fri Nov 3 00:39:32 2017
User: huffy
Message:
And then there were 5. Sorry Gremlin I would have thought the Bills would have won that game but it broke 2 of the huffy rules I am using playing this comp so didn't even think about using it. If someone takes me on by taking the Redskins then we have at least one person go into the next round. Out of interest what happens if there is still a draw at the end extra time? Are you eliminated because you did not pick a winner or do you stay in the comp because your team did not lose?