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Subject: trying a new tournament theme

Date: Sat Nov 1 14:34:16 2025
User: MrFixit
Message:

It's going to be called "Descent Into Madness" or just "Madness" for short.  I'm thinking it will be 8 games, all winnable, but all with a win rate under 5% in a one hour timeslot. Completely random mix of variants. Here's an example:

  5x9:8940:4

  6x5:5169:8

  6x4:27898:11

  6x4:20714:5

  5x10:1573:5

  8x2:32274:5

  7x3:25506:5

  7x3:3617:5

Is 8 the right number of games? I'd like this to be  won by "most games solved", not just by the fastest.

I know, I know, I've been pushing for easier stuff to attract the newbies but I'm feeling particularly sadistic today. :-)

MrFixit

P.S. Here's another sample:

  7x2:18078:5

  6x4:3041:11

  6x6:29310:11

  8x2:2567:11

  6x5:25741:8

  5x10:15199:9

  8x2:12710:5

  6x4:9008:7




Date: Sat Nov 1 15:18:40 2025
User: ElGuapo
Message:

Anyone who tries these sample lists, let us know how many you win in 55 minutes.


Date: Sat Nov 1 15:30:53 2025
User: HopDiriDiriDattiriDittiriDom
Message:

Theme number? Will you update the data feeds information?


Date: Sat Nov 1 15:41:59 2025
User: MrFixit
Message:



Date: Sat Nov 1 15:50:17 2025
User: HopDiriDiriDattiriDittiriDom
Message:

I cannot see it in the schedule.


Date: Sat Nov 1 16:44:35 2025
User: ElGuapo
Message:

OK I added one for tonight at 6 p.m. eastern. We might only do this weekly on Saturdays. The games may seem impossible, but they're all winnable.


Date: Sat Nov 1 17:00:33 2025
User: roo
Message:

Throw in some by-naughts, such as 8x0 and 9x0 which by definition must be level 5.


Date: Sat Nov 1 17:31:29 2025
User: ElGuapo
Message:

They're in there, mostly 10x0 and 9x0. This theme draws from all variants where there are games with <5% win rates.


Date: Sat Nov 1 17:38:17 2025
User: MrFixit
Message:

Here's the variants that have <5% winnable games. The chance of a given variant is proportional to how many games there are. Pretty good chance of getting a 6x4. Getting that one 9x4 that's extremely difficult? Not likely.

Here's the mix of variants they'll get:
| 9x4                  |    1 |
| 6x10                 |    1 |
| 8x0                  |    2 |
| 4x4                  |    3 |
| 7x6                  |    5 |
| 12x1                 |    7 |
| 5x5                  |   15 |
| 9x3                  |   15 |
| 6x7                  |   15 |
| 8x4                  |   30 |
| 13x0                 |   31 |
| 10x2                 |   31 |
| 6x9                  |   37 |
| 7x5                  |   78 |
| 11x1                 |   94 |
| 5x8                  |   98 |
| 5x7                  |  105 |
| 6x2                  |  111 |
| 8x1                  |  146 |
| 5x6                  |  153 |
| 6x8                  |  173 |
| 12x0                 |  176 |
| 4x7                  |  288 |
| 5x9                  |  360 |
| 7x2                  |  373 |
| 11x0                 |  551 |
| 5x10                 |  612 |
| 6x6                  |  645 |
| 10x1                 |  674 |
| 9x0                  |  808 |
| 9x2                  |  984 |
| 10x0                 | 1113 |
| 7x4                  | 1222 |
| 9x1                  | 1337 |
| 8x3                  | 1672 |
| 6x3                  | 1807 |
| 6x5                  | 3742 |
| 8x2                  | 4558 |
| 7x3                  | 5679 |
| 6x4                  | 7954 |
+----------------------+------+


Date: Sat Nov 1 17:51:44 2025
User: roo
Message:

I'm in, wearing my baggy trousers!


Date: Sat Nov 1 20:00:28 2025
User: Dr.Bombay
Message:

OK, I started a wee bit late so got them all in 56-57 minutes.  Probably would have been faster if I had known all of the games would be winnable in advance.  


On the "is 8 games enough" topic:  Seems like a good starting point.  The really good solvers who are also fast (the now absent WRAC and mabb would be classic examples), would likely be getting to 7 or 8 wins before the bell.


Date: Sat Nov 1 20:07:50 2025
User: roo
Message:

Was the easy 100% game a mistake?


Date: Sun Nov 2 01:09:46 2025
User: HopDiriDiriDattiriDittiriDom
Message:

"OK I added one for tonight at 6 p.m. eastern. We might only do this weekly on Saturdays."


Another theme, just like Masters, at an inconvenient time for me. How unfortunate.


Date: Sun Nov 2 09:43:30 2025
User: ElGuapo
Message:

Congrats, Dr.Bombay, that was an impressive way to start. The 5x10 in there was supposed to be a 4x10, but we're gonna try again today at 2 p.m. eastern. Join if you can!


Date: Sun Nov 2 15:19:14 2025
User: roo
Message:

Thanks El-G but it was already over before I read your notice at 6:30 Monday morning! Good that Hop could play and win.


Date: Sun Nov 2 17:53:52 2025
User: kenwa
Message:

Yikes! - less than 5% win games - I think a few select peeps would be drawn to this - but should make the super solvers very happy.


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